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US trade deficit Thread 2006

 

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US trade deficit Thread 2006 Can't Post

The U.S. trade deficit widened less than expected in April, but oil import prices increase in May 2006. THe increase in prices will likely see an increase in interest rates once again in the US.

The U.S. trade gap widened to $63.4 billion in April, lower than the $65 billion shortfall Wall Street analysts had expected. However, another government report put import prices up 1.6 percent in May, more than twice the increase expected.

The trade gap grew 2.5 percent from a slightly revised estimate of $61.9 billion in March. In the first four months of this year, the trade gap totaled $254.2 billion, on pace to surpass the record of $716.7 billion set for all of last year.

The price data added to inflation concerns that could prompt the Fed to again raise interest rates at its meeting on June 28-29. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is scheduled to speak about energy policy to the Economic Club of Chicago on Thursday.

U.S. Treasury debt prices turned lower because May import prices suggested inflation may be rising above the Fed's comfort level. U.S. stock market indexes were modestly higher on an improved outlook for technology companies.

April imports grew 0.7 percent from the previous month to $179.1 billion, the second highest on record. Oil and other petroleum products accounted for nearly $23.4 billion of the total, although import volumes fell as prices rose.

Imports of capital goods, such as computers and computer accessories, telecommunication equipment and industrial machines, hit a record while other categories such as automobiles and consumer goods were near records.

U.S. exports, reflecting stronger growth overseas and a decline in the value of dollar in recent years, totaled $115.7 billion in April, just shy of the record high set in March. Exports to Canada and China, two major U.S. trading partners, were also second only to the records set in March.

Even so, the politically sensitive trade gap with China widened in April to $17 billion, prompting a renewed call from Democrats for the Bush administration to file a
World Trade Organization against China for alleged currency manipulation. They just won't let this one go will they? More discussion about china's role, if any, in holding the US dollar down in the FOREX forum. I will say that China needs to re-value it's currency or face big bust.....

(This post was edited by econmod on Nov 9, 2006, 1:49 PM)

Mod
Webmaster / Moderator

Jun 12, 2006, 7:40 PM

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Re: [Mod] US trade deficit Thread 2006 [In reply to] Can't Post

The U.S. trade deficit narrowed more than expected in September as oil import prices fell, and U.S. consumer sentiment weakened slightly early this month. The two reports sent mixed signals on the U.S. economy, and did little to change the market outlook for monetary policy from the
Federal Reserve.

The Commerce Department said the U.S. trade gap totaled $64.3 billion in September, below Wall Street expectations for a $66 billion shortfall and down 6.8 percent from August.

The dollar rose after the trade data but then slipped against the euro after the weaker-than-expected sentiment index. U.S. blue chip stocks also rose on the trade data, but then headed lower as oil futures prices rose and technology shares pared earlier gains. U.S. government debt prices edged up because the Michigan data hinted at ebbing inflation.


Imports of high-technology products rose to a record $26.2 billion and imports from China increased 3.3 percent to a record $27.6 billion. The trade deficit with China also widened 4.6 percent to a record $23.0 billion.

The year-to-date trade deficit with China totaled $166.3 billion, keeping it on a pace to easily surpass last year's record of $202 billion.

Also, the number of U.S. workers applying for jobless benefits fell to 308,000 last week, according to data on Thursday.

Data from the Commerce Department showed inventories at U.S. wholesalers rose by a larger-than-expected 0.8 percent in September, while sales fell for the first time in nearly a year.

econmod
Broker / Moderator

Nov 9, 2006, 1:50 PM

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