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IMF 2008 Economic Outlook
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The IMF has lowered its forecast for global economic growth in 2008. Global recession is now in the works although the major developed economies will have much weaker growth this year.
The new forecast for global economic growth this year is 4.1%, after nearly 5% last year. By the final quarter of this year, annual growth in the US will be below 1%, according to the IMF.
Developing economies are predicted to grow more slowly than last year, though still quite robustly in many cases.
The report also warns of risks from financial market turmoil, which could mean 2008 turns out worse than its main forecast.
Those problems could affect spending in the rich countries and make for more significant spillovers to developing countries.
One exception to the pattern of slowing growth in the forecast is Africa.
IMF economists say that reflects high prices for many of the commodities exported by African countries, improved economic polices and the fact that the continent is less exposed than Asia, for example, to problems in international financial markets.
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Jan 30, 2008, 1:55 AM
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